Season 2026-27 · Europe’s top five leagues
Football matches, read through numbers
Match-by-match previews of Serie A, the Premier League, La Liga, the Bundesliga and Ligue 1, with three predictions per game, from the most likely to the boldest. Every number comes from this season’s results and a simple statistical model.
This week’s games
Kick-off times CESTPremier LeagueMatchday 7
17–19 October- 13:30Sat 17Everton – Chelsea
- 16:00Sat 17Brentford – Liverpool
- 16:00Sat 17Fulham – Hull City
- 16:00Sat 17Manchester City – Ipswich Town
- 18:30Sat 17Newcastle – Aston Villa
- 15:00Sun 18Bournemouth – Sunderland
- 15:00Sun 18Brighton – Crystal Palace
- 15:00Sun 18Leeds – Manchester United
- 17:30Sun 18Nottingham Forest – Arsenal
- 21:00Mon 19Tottenham – Coventry City
La LigaMatchday 9
16–19 October- 21:00Fri 16Deportivo La Coruña – Levante
- 14:00Sat 17Espanyol – Atlético Madrid
- 16:15Sat 17Villarreal – Elche
- 18:30Sat 17Real Betis – Barcelona
- 21:00Sat 17Valencia – Athletic Bilbao
- 14:00Sun 18Osasuna – Racing Santander
- 16:15Sun 18Celta Vigo – Alavés
- 18:30Sun 18Málaga – Real Sociedad
- 21:00Sun 18Real Madrid – Sevilla
- 21:00Mon 19Getafe – Rayo Vallecano
BundesligaMatchday 6
16–18 October- 20:30Fri 16Eintracht Frankfurt – Cologne
- 15:30Sat 17Hamburg – Stuttgart
- 15:30Sat 17Elversberg – Augsburg
- 15:30Sat 17Schalke 04 – Mainz
- 15:30Sat 17Union Berlin – Borussia Dortmund
- 15:30Sat 17Werder Bremen – Paderborn
- 18:30Sat 17Bayern Munich – RB Leipzig
- 15:30Sun 18Bayer Leverkusen – Freiburg
- 17:30Sun 18Borussia Mönchengladbach – Hoffenheim
Ligue 1Matchday 7
16–18 OctoberArchiveAfter every round
How the round of 9-12 October went: every result and the predictions that came true.
57%of predictions came true, 80 of 141 (expected 58%)
- Most likely: 83% (expected 76%)
- Balanced: 55% (expected 59%)
- Boldest: 32% (expected 40%)
Start here
Guide
How to read our predictions
1X2, double chance, over/under, both teams to score and the three levels of each prediction, explained simply.
Track recordArchive
Every past prediction with the final result, and how often each level came true against what we expected.
AboutWho we are
An independent project about football and statistics: no promises, no slogans, no betting links.
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