Ligue 1 · Matchday 8 · Sun 25 Oct · 17:15 (Italian time)
Rennes vs Strasbourg: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
Rennes, sixth on 13 points, host Strasbourg, fourteenth on 7, on Sunday at 17:15 (Italian time). The hosts come off a 4-3 defeat at Paris FC; the visitors have lost their last three games, the latest 3-1 at home to PSG.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeRennes | AwayStrasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 6th13 points | 14th7 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 4–1–2 | 2–1–4 |
| Goals for–against | 15–142.1–2.0 per match | 12–151.7–2.1 per match |
| Points at home | 10in 4 matches | 4in 3 matches |
| Points away | 3in 3 matches | 3in 4 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 6 of 7 | 6 of 7 |
| Both teams scored | 5 of 7 | 6 of 7 |
| Clean sheets | 1 of 7 | 0 of 7 |
The analysis
Rennes: six games out of seven with at least three goals
Four wins, a draw and two defeats, 15 goals scored and 14 conceded. Six of their seven games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in five; they have kept one clean sheet. At home they have taken 10 points from four games, away 3 from three; they come off a 4-3 defeat at Paris FC.
Strasbourg: three defeats in a row
Two wins, a draw and four defeats, 12 goals scored and 15 conceded. They have lost their last three, the latest 3-1 at home to PSG. Six of their seven games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in six; they have never kept a clean sheet. At home they have taken 4 points from three games, away 3 from four.
What to expect
The model gives Rennes 56% and Strasbourg 24%, with 2.4 expected goals to 1.5: 3.9 in total, the highest figure of the Ligue 1 round. The most likely scores are 2-1 (9%), then 1-1, 3-1 and 2-2 (7%). Over 2.5 is at 74%, both teams to score at 71%.
Our prediction
Rennes vs Strasbourg · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
Over 2.5
At least 3 goals in total
74% estimated probability
Six of Rennes’s seven games and six of Strasbourg’s have had at least three goals. The model expects 3.9 in total.
1X & Over 2.5
Rennes avoid defeat and at least 3 goals in total
55% estimated probability
Strasbourg have lost their last three and conceded 15 goals in seven games; Rennes have taken 10 points from four at home. The model gives the hosts 56% and the draw 20%.
1 & both teams score
Rennes win and both teams score
36% estimated probability
Both teams have scored in six of Strasbourg’s seven games and Rennes have kept just one clean sheet. 2-1 (9%) and 3-1 (7%), among the four most likely scores, fit the combination.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.