Ligue 1 · Matchday 8 · Fri 23 Oct · 20:45 (Italian time)
Brest vs Nice: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
Brest, tenth on 9 points, host Nice, thirteenth on 8, on Friday at 20:45 (Italian time). The hosts come off a 1-1 draw at Lille and both teams have scored in six of their seven games; Nice lost 2-1 at Lyon and have no points from three away games.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeBrest | AwayNice |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th9 points | 13th8 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 2–3–2 | 2–2–3 |
| Goals for–against | 13–101.9–1.4 per match | 6–90.9–1.3 per match |
| Points at home | 4in 3 matches | 8in 4 matches |
| Points away | 5in 4 matches | 0in 3 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 5 of 7 | 4 of 7 |
| Both teams scored | 6 of 7 | 4 of 7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 of 7 | 1 of 7 |
The analysis
Brest: both teams scored in six games out of seven
Two wins, three draws and two defeats, 13 goals scored and 10 conceded. Both teams have scored in six of their seven games and Brest have never kept a clean sheet; five have had at least three goals. At home they have taken 4 points from three games, away 5 from four. They come off a 1-1 draw at Lille.
Nice: 8 points at home, none away
Two wins, two draws and three defeats, 6 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have taken 8 points from four games, away none from three; they come off a 2-1 defeat at Lyon. Both teams have scored in four of their seven games and four have had at least three goals. They have kept one clean sheet.
What to expect
The model gives Brest 49% and Nice 26%, with the draw at 25% and 1.6 expected goals to 1.1. The most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 (11%), then 2-1 and 2-0 (9%). Both teams to score is rated at 53%, Over 2.5 at 50%.
Our prediction
Brest vs Nice · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
Over 1.5
At least 2 goals in total
75% estimated probability
The model expects 2.7 goals in total: two are enough. Five of Brest’s seven games have had at least three goals.
Both teams to score
Both teams score
53% estimated probability
Both teams have scored in six of Brest’s seven games and Brest have never kept a clean sheet. Nice have scored 6 goals in seven games and have no points away: the model gives both teams to score 53%.
1X & both teams score
Brest avoid defeat and both teams score
40% estimated probability
Nice have lost all three away games and Brest have taken 4 points from three at home. The model gives the hosts 49% and the draw 25%; 1-1 (12%) and 2-1 (9%) fit the combination.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.