La Liga · Matchday 9 · Fri 16 Oct · 21:00 CEST
Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
Matchday 9 of La Liga opens on Friday night at the Riazor. Deportivo La Coruña, newly promoted, are eighth on 10 points and have drawn four of eight; Levante are seventeenth on 6 and come off a 3-3 with Sevilla.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeDeportivo La Coruña | AwayLevante |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th10 points | 17th6 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 2–4–2 | 1–3–3 |
| Goals for–against | 12–111.5–1.4 per match | 11–151.6–2.1 per match |
| Points at home | 5in 4 matches | 4in 3 matches |
| Points away | 5in 4 matches | 2in 4 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 3 of 8 | 5 of 7 |
| Both teams scored | 7 of 8 | 4 of 7 |
| Clean sheets | 0 of 8 | 2 of 7 |
The analysis
Deportivo: both teams almost always score
Two wins, four draws and two defeats, 12 goals scored and 11 conceded. Deportivo have never kept a clean sheet and both teams have scored in seven of their eight games. They have taken 5 points from four home games. Last time out they lost 3-2 at Real Sociedad.
Levante: still without an away win
One win, three draws and three defeats in seven games, 11 goals scored and 15 conceded. Away from home Levante have taken 2 points from four games. Five of their games have produced at least three goals, including last weekend’s 3-3 with Sevilla.
What to expect
The model gives Deportivo 51% and Levante 26%, with 1.8 expected goals to 1.3. The most likely score is 1-1 (11%), then 2-1 (10%). Deportivo have always conceded and Levante let in more than two a game: both teams to score and Over 2.5 are at 60%.
Our prediction
Deportivo La Coruña vs Levante · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
1X
Deportivo La Coruña win or draw
74% estimated probability
Levante have not won away yet, 2 points from four games, and have conceded 15 goals. Deportivo have lost only once at home.
Both teams to score
Both teams score
60% estimated probability
Both teams have scored in seven of Deportivo’s eight games, and Levante have scored 11 goals in seven rounds.
1 & Over 2.5
Deportivo La Coruña win and at least 3 goals in total
35% estimated probability
Five of Levante’s seven games have gone over 2.5 goals. If Deportivo win, they will probably do it in an open game.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.