La Liga · Matchday 10 · Sun 25 Oct · 18:30 (Italian time)
Real Sociedad vs Levante: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
Real Sociedad, fifth on 16 points, host Levante on Sunday at 18:30 (Italian time) after a 5-2 win at Málaga, their fourth victory in the last five games. Levante, eleventh on 10, beat Athletic Bilbao 3-1 in Wednesday’s rearranged game.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeReal Sociedad | AwayLevante |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th16 points | 11th10 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 5–1–3 | 2–4–3 |
| Goals for–against | 17–171.9–1.9 per match | 15–171.7–1.9 per match |
| Points at home | 7in 4 matches | 7in 4 matches |
| Points away | 9in 5 matches | 3in 5 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 7 of 9 | 6 of 9 |
| Both teams scored | 6 of 9 | 6 of 9 |
| Clean sheets | 1 of 9 | 2 of 9 |
The analysis
Real Sociedad: four wins in the last five
Five wins, a draw and three defeats, 17 goals scored and 17 conceded. Real Sociedad have won four of their last five, the latest 5-2 at Málaga; they have taken 9 points from five away games and 7 from four at home. Seven of their nine games have had at least three goals and they have kept just one clean sheet.
Levante: 3-1 against Athletic in the rearranged game
Two wins, four draws and three defeats, 15 goals scored and 17 conceded. Levante beat Athletic Bilbao 3-1 on Wednesday in the rearranged game, after two draws. At home they have taken 7 points from four games, away 3 from five. Six of their nine games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in six.
What to expect
The model gives Real Sociedad 55% and Levante 24%, with 2.1 expected goals to 1.4 and 3.5 in total, the second-highest figure of the La Liga round after Barcelona v Real Madrid. The most likely scores are 2-1 and 1-1 (9%), then 2-0 and 3-1 (7%). Over 2.5 is at 67%, both teams to score at 65%.
Our prediction
Real Sociedad vs Levante · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
1X
Real Sociedad win or draw
76% estimated probability
Levante have taken 3 points from five away games, Real Sociedad 7 from four at home, and they come off four wins in five. The model gives Real Sociedad 55% and the draw 21%.
Real Sociedad 2+ goals
Real Sociedad score at least twice
62% estimated probability
Real Sociedad have scored 17 goals in nine games and Levante have conceded 17, with two clean sheets. The model gives the hosts 2.1 expected goals.
1 & Over 2.5
Real Sociedad win and at least 3 goals in total
41% estimated probability
Seven of Real Sociedad’s nine games and six of Levante’s have had at least three goals, and the model expects 3.5 in total. To a win for the Basques we add at least three goals.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.