Premier League · Matchday 8 · Sun 25 Oct · 15:00 (Italian time)
Hull City vs Brentford: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
Hull City, ninth on 9 points, host Brentford on Sunday at 15:00 (Italian time). The visitors are sixth on 10 points and come off their first defeat of the season, 2-1 at home to Liverpool; Hull lost 1-0 at Fulham.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeHull City | AwayBrentford |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 9th9 points | 6th10 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 2–3–2 | 2–4–1 |
| Goals for–against | 8–71.1–1.0 per match | 13–81.9–1.1 per match |
| Points at home | 5in 3 matches | 7in 4 matches |
| Points away | 4in 4 matches | 3in 3 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 3 of 7 | 5 of 7 |
| Both teams scored | 3 of 7 | 5 of 7 |
| Clean sheets | 3 of 7 | 2 of 7 |
The analysis
Hull City: three clean sheets in seven games
Two wins, three draws and two defeats, 8 goals scored and 7 conceded. Hull have kept three clean sheets and only three games have had at least three goals. At home they have taken 5 points from three games, away 4 from four; they come off a 1-0 defeat at Fulham.
Brentford: 13 goals scored, first defeat only now
Two wins, four draws and a defeat, 13 goals scored and 8 conceded. Brentford were unbeaten until the 2-1 home defeat to Liverpool, their first of the season. They have taken 7 points from four home games and have drawn all three away. Five of their seven games have had at least three goals.
What to expect
The model gives Brentford 47% and Hull City 27%, with 1.5 expected goals to 1.1. The most likely scores are 1-1 and 0-1 (12%), then 1-2 and 0-2 (9%). Hull have kept three clean sheets: Under 2.5 is at 53%, a Brentford clean sheet at 34%.
Our prediction
Hull City vs Brentford · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
X2
Brentford win or draw
73% estimated probability
Brentford have drawn all three away games and have lost just one of seven; Hull have lost two. The model gives the draw 26% and Brentford 47%.
Under 2.5
At most 2 goals in total
53% estimated probability
Hull have kept three clean sheets and only three of their games have had at least three goals; the model expects 2.5 in total. Brentford, though, have gone over 2.5 in five of seven.
Brentford clean sheet
Brentford do not concede
34% estimated probability
Brentford have kept a clean sheet in two of seven games, while Hull have scored 8 goals, 1.1 a game. The model gives them 1.1 expected goals: a clean sheet for the visitors is rated at 34%.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.