Serie A · Matchday 8 · Sat 24 Oct · 15:00 (Italian time)
Como vs Sassuolo: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
Como, fifth on 14 points, host Sassuolo on Saturday at 15:00 (Italian time) after a 3-1 win at Fiorentina. Sassuolo, thirteenth on 8, lost 4-2 at Frosinone and have not kept a clean sheet in seven games. Kean is out with a shin problem and so is Diao; Chalobah is a serious doubt.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeComo | AwaySassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 5th14 points | 13th8 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 4–2–1 | 2–2–3 |
| Goals for–against | 12–71.7–1.0 per match | 12–141.7–2.0 per match |
| Points at home | 4in 2 matches | 7in 3 matches |
| Points away | 10in 5 matches | 1in 4 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 4 of 7 | 6 of 7 |
| Both teams scored | 5 of 7 | 7 of 7 |
| Clean sheets | 1 of 7 | 0 of 7 |
The analysis
Como: 10 points from five away games
Four wins, two draws and a defeat, 12 goals scored and 7 conceded. Como have played only two games at home, taking 4 points, and have collected 10 points from five away trips. Last time out they won 3-1 at Fiorentina. Kean (shin) and Diao are out, and Chalobah is a serious doubt.
Sassuolo: both teams have scored in all seven games
Two wins, two draws and three defeats, 12 goals scored and 14 conceded. Both teams have scored in every Sassuolo game, six have had at least three goals and they have never kept a clean sheet. At home they have taken 7 points from three games, away 1 from four. Idzes, Leysen and I. Koné are out.
What to expect
The model gives Como 62% and Sassuolo 17%, with 2.1 expected goals to 1.0. The most likely scores are 2-1 and 2-0 (10%), then 1-1 and 1-0 (9%). Both teams have scored in every Sassuolo game: both teams to score is rated at 56%, Over 2.5 at 61%. Douvikas has a 39% chance of scoring, the highest figure for Como.
Our prediction
Como vs Sassuolo · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
1X
Como win or draw
83% estimated probability
The model gives Como 62% and the draw 20%. Sassuolo have taken one point from four away games, while Como are unbeaten in their two home games.
Both teams to score
Both teams score
56% estimated probability
Both teams have scored in all seven Sassuolo games and Como have scored 12 goals, 1.7 a game. Como have kept a clean sheet only once.
Over 3.5
At least 4 goals in total
38% estimated probability
Six of Sassuolo’s seven games have had at least three goals and their defence has conceded 14, two a game. The model expects 3.1 in total: four is the boldest choice.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.
Fantasy football
- Como clean sheet
- 36%
- Sassuolo clean sheet
- 12%
Our Serie A fantasy football tips (who to pick, who to avoid and a wildcard) are in Italian.