Ligue 1 · Matchday 10 · Sun 8 Nov · 17:15 (Italian time)
Angers vs Nice: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
Angers, 15th on 8 points, host Nice, 8th on 14, on Sunday at 17:15 (Italian time). The hosts come off a 2-0 defeat at Lyon, the visitors a 5-2 home win over Rennes. Nice have taken 11 points from five home games, but only 3 from four away.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeAngers | AwayNice |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 15th8 points | 8th14 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 2–2–5 | 4–2–3 |
| Goals for–against | 9–171.0–1.9 per match | 13–121.4–1.3 per match |
| Points at home | 4in 5 matches | 11in 5 matches |
| Points away | 4in 4 matches | 3in 4 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 4 of 9 | 6 of 9 |
| Both teams scored | 4 of 9 | 6 of 9 |
| Clean sheets | 3 of 9 | 1 of 9 |
The analysis
Angers: 4 points from five home games
Angers have two wins, two draws and five defeats, with 9 goals scored and 17 conceded. At home they have taken 4 points from five games, away 4 from four. Four of their nine games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in four; they have three clean sheets. Last time out they lost 2-0 at Lyon, and in their last five games they have won one, drawn one and lost three.
Nice: 3 points from four away games
Nice have four wins, two draws and three defeats, with 13 goals scored and 12 conceded. At home they have taken 11 points from five games, away 3 from four. Six of their nine games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in six; they have one clean sheet. Last time out they beat Rennes 5-2 at home, and in their last five games they have won four and lost one.
What to expect
The model gives Nice 46% and Angers 29%, with the draw at 25% and 1.5 expected goals to 1.2. The most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 0-1 (10%), 1-2 (9%) and 0-2 (8%). Over 2.5 is at 51%, both teams to score at 54%; a clean sheet for Nice is rated at 31%.
Our prediction
Angers vs Nice · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
Over 1.5
At least 2 goals in total
75% estimated probability
Over 1.5, at least 2 goals in total, is rated at 75%: the model expects 2.7 goals, 1.5 of them from Nice and 1.2 from Angers.
Both teams to score
Both teams score
54% estimated probability
Both teams to score is at 54%: both teams have scored in six of Nice’s nine games and in four of Angers’.
X2 & both teams score
Nice avoid defeat and both teams score
40% estimated probability
X2 & both teams score (Nice avoid defeat and both teams score) is at 40%: the boldest pick, with 46% for a Nice win and 25% for the draw.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.