Premier League · Matchday 10 · Fri 6 Nov · 21:00 (Italian time)
Everton vs Coventry City: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
Everton, 7th on 13 points, host Coventry City, 16th on 9, on Friday at 21:00 (Italian time) in a meeting of a solid defence and one in trouble. The hosts come off a 1-0 win at Newcastle United and have kept four clean sheets; the visitors beat Sunderland 3-1 but have already conceded 16 goals in nine games.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeEverton | AwayCoventry City |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 7th13 points | 16th9 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 3–4–2 | 3–0–6 |
| Goals for–against | 9–91.0–1.0 per match | 9–161.0–1.8 per match |
| Points at home | 7in 4 matches | 6in 5 matches |
| Points away | 6in 5 matches | 3in 4 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 2 of 9 | 5 of 9 |
| Both teams scored | 3 of 9 | 3 of 9 |
| Clean sheets | 4 of 9 | 1 of 9 |
The analysis
Everton: four clean sheets in nine games
Everton have three wins, four draws and two defeats, with 9 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have taken 7 points from four games, away 6 from five. Only two games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in three; they have four clean sheets. Last time out they won 1-0 at Newcastle United.
Coventry City: three wins in their last five games
Coventry City have three wins and six defeats, with 9 goals scored and 16 conceded. At home they have taken 6 points from five games, away 3 from four. Five of their nine games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in three; they have one clean sheet. Last time out they beat Sunderland 3-1, and in their last five games they have won three and lost two.
What to expect
The model gives Everton 55% and Coventry City 20%, with the draw at 25% and 1.6 expected goals to 0.9. The most likely scores are 1-0 (14%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9%). Under 2.5 is at 55%, both teams to score at 46%; a clean sheet for Everton is rated at 42%.
Our prediction
Everton vs Coventry City · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
Over 0.5 second half
At least one goal in the second half
74% estimated probability
Over 0.5 second half, at least one goal in the second half, is rated at 74%: the model expects 2.5 goals in total, with 1.6 for Everton.
Coventry City to score
At least one goal for Coventry City
58% estimated probability
Coventry City to score, at least one goal for Coventry City, is at 58%: the model expects 0.9 goals from them and they have scored 9 in nine games.
1X & both teams score
Everton avoid defeat and both teams score
38% estimated probability
1X & both teams score (Everton avoid defeat and both teams score) is at 38%: the model gives both teams to score 46% and an Everton win 55%.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.