Bundesliga · Matchday 9 · Sat 7 Nov · 15:30 (Italian time)
Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
Paderborn, 14th on 9 points, host Eintracht Frankfurt, 8th on 11, on Saturday at 15:30 (Italian time) in a game between sides close in the table. The hosts come off a 0-0 draw at Borussia Mönchengladbach and have kept three clean sheets; the visitors beat Hamburg 3-1 but have already conceded 18 goals in eight games.
The numbers
| Stat | HomePaderborn | AwayEintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 14th9 points | 8th11 points |
| Won–drawn–lost | 2–3–3 | 3–2–3 |
| Goals for–against | 6–90.8–1.1 per match | 13–181.6–2.2 per match |
| Points at home | 6in 4 matches | 7in 4 matches |
| Points away | 3in 4 matches | 4in 4 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 3 of 8 | 6 of 8 |
| Both teams scored | 2 of 8 | 5 of 8 |
| Clean sheets | 3 of 8 | 1 of 8 |
The analysis
Paderborn: three clean sheets in eight games
Paderborn have two wins, three draws and three defeats, with 6 goals scored and 9 conceded. At home they have taken 6 points from four games, away 3 from four. Only three of their eight games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in two; they have three clean sheets. Last time out they drew 0-0 at Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Eintracht Frankfurt: 18 goals conceded in eight games
Eintracht Frankfurt have three wins, two draws and three defeats, with 13 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have taken 7 points from four games, away 4 from four. Six of their eight games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in five; they have one clean sheet. Last time out they beat Hamburg 3-1.
What to expect
The model gives Paderborn 38% and Eintracht Frankfurt 37%, with the draw at 26% and 1.4 expected goals to 1.4. The most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 1-0 and 0-1 (9%) and 2-1 (8%). Over 2.5 is at 51%, both teams to score at 56%; a clean sheet for Paderborn is rated at 26%.
Our prediction
Paderborn vs Eintracht Frankfurt · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
Paderborn to score
At least one goal for Paderborn
75% estimated probability
Paderborn to score, at least one goal for the hosts, is rated at 75%: the model expects 1.4 goals from Paderborn, and Eintracht Frankfurt have conceded 18 in eight games.
1X
Paderborn win or draw
63% estimated probability
1X, Paderborn win or draw, is at 63%: the model gives 38% to a win and 26% to the draw, and Paderborn have taken 6 points from four home games.
1
Paderborn win
38% estimated probability
A Paderborn win is at 38%, against 37% for Eintracht Frankfurt: the model expects 1.4 goals for each side.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.