La Liga · Matchday 12 · Sun 8 Nov · 18:30 (Italian time)
Celta Vigo vs Levante: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
Celta Vigo, 10th on 12 points, host Levante, 18th on 10, on Sunday at 18:30 (Italian time). The hosts come off a 3-0 defeat at Rayo Vallecano, the visitors a 2-0 home defeat to Atlético Madrid. Celta Vigo have kept five clean sheets.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeCelta Vigo | AwayLevante |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 10th12 points | 18th10 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 2–6–3 | 2–4–5 |
| Goals for–against | 10–100.9–0.9 per match | 16–211.5–1.9 per match |
| Points at home | 8in 6 matches | 7in 5 matches |
| Points away | 4in 5 matches | 3in 6 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 4 of 11 | 7 of 11 |
| Both teams scored | 4 of 11 | 7 of 11 |
| Clean sheets | 5 of 11 | 2 of 11 |
The analysis
Celta Vigo: five clean sheets in 11 games
Celta Vigo have two wins, six draws and three defeats, with 10 goals scored and 10 conceded. At home they have taken 8 points from six games, away 4 from five. Four of their 11 games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in four; they have five clean sheets. Last time out they lost 3-0 at Rayo Vallecano, and in their last five games they have won two, drawn two and lost one.
Levante: 21 goals conceded in 11 games
Levante have two wins, four draws and five defeats, with 16 goals scored and 21 conceded. At home they have taken 7 points from five games, away 3 from six. Seven of their 11 games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in seven; they have two clean sheets. Last time out they lost 2-0 at home to Atlético Madrid, and in their last five games they have won one, drawn two and lost two.
What to expect
The model gives Celta Vigo 50% and Levante 24%, with the draw at 26% and 1.5 expected goals to 0.9. The most likely scores are 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9%). Under 2.5 is at 57%, both teams to score at 47%; a clean sheet for Celta Vigo is rated at 40%.
Our prediction
Celta Vigo vs Levante · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
1X
Celta Vigo win or draw
76% estimated probability
1X, Celta Vigo win or draw, is rated at 76%: the model gives 50% to a win for the hosts and 26% to the draw.
1X & Over 1.5
Celta Vigo avoid defeat and at least 2 goals in total
54% estimated probability
1X & Over 1.5 (Celta Vigo avoid defeat and at least 2 goals in total) is at 54%: the model expects 2.4 goals, 1.5 of them from the hosts.
Over 1.5 second half
At least 2 goals in the second half
38% estimated probability
Over 1.5 second half, at least 2 goals in the second half, is at 38%: the boldest pick, with 2.4 goals expected in total, while Levante have finished seven of 11 games with at least three goals.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.