La Liga · Matchday 12 · Sun 8 Nov · 14:00 (Italian time)
Elche vs Real Betis: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
Elche, 17th on 10 points, host Real Betis, 4th on 23, on Sunday at 14:00 (Italian time). The hosts come off a 1-0 home defeat to Valencia and have taken 1 point from five home games; the visitors beat Málaga 2-1 and have taken 15 points from six games at home.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeElche | AwayReal Betis |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 17th10 points | 4th23 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 2–4–5 | 7–2–2 |
| Goals for–against | 14–181.3–1.6 per match | 18–151.6–1.4 per match |
| Points at home | 1in 5 matches | 15in 6 matches |
| Points away | 9in 6 matches | 8in 5 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 6 of 11 | 5 of 11 |
| Both teams scored | 6 of 11 | 6 of 11 |
| Clean sheets | 3 of 11 | 5 of 11 |
The analysis
Elche: 1 point from five home games
Elche have two wins, four draws and five defeats, with 14 goals scored and 18 conceded. At home they have taken 1 point from five games, away 9 from six. Six of their 11 games have had at least three goals and both teams have scored in six; they have three clean sheets. Last time out they lost 1-0 at home to Valencia, and in their last five games they have won two, drawn two and lost one.
Real Betis: 15 points from six home games
Real Betis have seven wins, two draws and two defeats, with 18 goals scored and 15 conceded. At home they have taken 15 points from six games, away 8 from five. Five of their 11 games have had more than two goals and both teams have scored in six; they have five clean sheets. Last time out they beat Málaga 2-1 at home, and in their last five games they have won two, drawn two and lost one.
What to expect
The model gives Real Betis 43% and Elche 32%, with the draw at 25% and 1.5 expected goals to 1.3. The most likely scores are 1-1 (12%), 0-1 and 1-2 (9%) and 1-0 (8%). Over 2.5 is at 52%, both teams to score at 56%; a clean sheet for Real Betis is rated at 28%.
Our prediction
Elche vs Real Betis · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
Over 1.5
At least 2 goals in total
76% estimated probability
Over 1.5, at least 2 goals in total, is rated at 76%: the model expects 2.8 goals and Elche have scored 14 in 11 games.
1X
Elche win or draw
57% estimated probability
1X, Elche win or draw, is at 57%: the model gives 32% to a win for the hosts and 25% to the draw.
Elche 2+ goals
Elche score at least twice
36% estimated probability
Elche 2+ goals, Elche score at least twice, is at 36%: the boldest pick, with 1.3 goals expected for the hosts and 14 goals scored in 11 games.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.