Ligue 1 · Matchday 7 · Sun 18 Oct · 17:15 CEST
Lorient vs Monaco: preview and prediction
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Monaco are top on 14 points and the only unbeaten team in Ligue 1. On Sunday they visit Lorient, eighth on 8, who have kept a clean sheet in half their games.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeLorient | AwayMonaco |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 8th8 points | 1st14 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 2–2–2 | 4–2–0 |
| Goals for–against | 6–61.0–1.0 per match | 10–51.7–0.8 per match |
| Points at home | 4in 3 matches | 7in 3 matches |
| Points away | 4in 3 matches | 7in 3 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 3 of 6 | 3 of 6 |
| Both teams scored | 3 of 6 | 4 of 6 |
| Clean sheets | 3 of 6 | 2 of 6 |
The analysis
Lorient: six goals scored, six conceded
Two wins, two draws and two defeats, 6 goals scored and 6 conceded, three clean sheets. Lorient have taken 4 points at home and 4 away; last time out they beat Paris FC 1-0.
Monaco: the only unbeaten side
Four wins and two draws, 10 goals scored and 5 conceded. Away from home Monaco have taken 7 points from three games. Last time out they were held 2-2 at home by Toulouse.
What to expect
The model gives Monaco 43% and Lorient 29%, with 1.3 expected goals to 1.0: 2.3 in total, among the lowest of the week. The most likely scores are 1-1 and 0-1 (13%), then 1-0 and 0-0 (10%). Under 2.5 is at 59%.
Our prediction
Lorient vs Monaco · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
X2
Monaco win or draw
71% estimated probability
Monaco have not lost yet and have taken 7 points from three away games.
Under 2.5
At most 2 goals in total
59% estimated probability
Lorient have scored and conceded 6 goals in six games and often keep a clean sheet. The model expects 2.3 goals in total.
Monaco clean sheet
Monaco do not concede
37% estimated probability
Lorient score a goal a game and Monaco have kept two clean sheets in six. From the unbeaten leaders we also ask for a clean sheet.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.