Ligue 1 · Matchday 7 · Sat 17 Oct · 17:15 CEST
Strasbourg vs PSG: preview and prediction
Go to the prediction ↓Preview
PSG have won their last three and are climbing: they are sixth on 11 points, three behind Monaco. On Saturday they visit Strasbourg, eleventh on 7, who have lost their last two.
The numbers
| Stat | HomeStrasbourg | AwayPSG |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 11th7 points | 6th11 points |
| Last matches (oldest first) | ||
| Won–drawn–lost | 2–1–3 | 3–2–1 |
| Goals for–against | 11–121.8–2.0 per match | 11–81.8–1.3 per match |
| Points at home | 4in 2 matches | 3in 2 matches |
| Points away | 3in 4 matches | 8in 4 matches |
| Matches with 3+ goals | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 |
| Both teams scored | 5 of 6 | 5 of 6 |
| Clean sheets | 0 of 6 | 1 of 6 |
The analysis
Strasbourg: always open games
Two wins, a draw and three defeats, 11 goals scored and 12 conceded. Strasbourg have never kept a clean sheet and five of their six games have produced at least three goals. They are unbeaten at home: one win and one draw. Last time out they lost 2-1 in Nice.
PSG: three wins in a row
Three wins, two draws and a defeat, 11 goals scored and 8 conceded. PSG have taken 8 points from four away games, without losing, and come off three straight wins, the latest 3-1 against Le Mans. Their games are full of goals too: five of six with at least three.
What to expect
The model gives PSG 53% and Strasbourg 25%, with 2.0 expected goals to 1.3. The most likely scores are 1-2 and 1-1 (10%). Both sides have gone over 2.5 goals in five of six games: Over 2.5 at 65%, both teams to score at 63%.
Our prediction
Strasbourg vs PSG · three predictions, from the most likely to the boldest
X2
PSG win or draw
75% estimated probability
PSG have won their last three and are unbeaten away: 8 points from four games. Strasbourg come off two defeats.
2
PSG win
53% estimated probability
The model gives PSG 2.0 expected goals against a defence that has never kept a clean sheet. Strasbourg have lost their last two.
2 & Over 2.5
PSG win and at least 3 goals in total
39% estimated probability
Five of six games for both teams have gone over 2.5 goals. If PSG win, it will probably happen again.
Model estimates, not certainties. No prediction guarantees a win.